Showing posts with label BabyCare Ltd. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BabyCare Ltd. Show all posts

Monday, October 20, 2014

USANA May Have Made Half a Billion Dollars In Sales From Conducting Illegal Multi-Level Marketing In Mainland China

USANA May Have Received at Least $440 million From Illegal Sales in Mainland China Since 2007

It may be that by secretly recruiting hundreds of thousands of Chinese Nationals as USANA distributors, which violates China's direct selling laws and possibly the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA), USANA may have received $440 million from illegal sales in mainland China since 2007. USANA is a Multi-Level Marketing (MLM) company that makes most of its revenue from the product purchased by their sales reps also known as distributors. Mainland China has banned MLM, but that has not stopped USANA from recruiting China's citizens. USANA has hidden this information from investors, auditors, and regulators.

USANA is allowed to conduct MLM business in Hong Kong, which has a population of about 7 million. USANA has also purchased a company called Babycare, which has a direct selling license in mainland China through Single-Level Marketing, which means there are no downlines or commissions paid to any upline members. Since 2009 USANA's revenue for Hong Kong began increasing at a very rapid pace, which outpaced any of their other markets. The number of distributors they reported each quarter was such that 1 in every 100 Hong Kong citizens would have to be a USANA distributor, which was absurd since the ratio of USANA distributors in the United States is about 1 in every 3600 people. USANA's sales in Hong Kong peeked to $48.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2012. Since then, there has been a sharp decline in Hong Kong Sales at the same time a sharp increase in Babycare sales. As of last quarter (Q2-2012) USANA made only $15.4 million from Hong Kong. This is a substantial decline in sales, yet USANA has simply brushed it off as an expected decline as members join Babycare in mainland China rather than USANA in Hong Kong.

What's the big secret you may ask? In order to circumvent foreign laws, USANA recruited Chinese Nationals into USANA and had them register using a fake address in Hong Kong ("Room 1906 Kwong Yat House" for example). This way all of the Chinese citizens appear to be residing in Hong Kong when in fact they lived in areas such as Beijing. They did not join to spend $1000 USD (¥ 6100 CNY) on vitamins because they simply wanted the product (otherwise they would have been Preferred Customers), but joined as distributors so they can participate in MLM, which China considers is a pyramid scheme. Many if not most of them joined with a "3-business center" plan, which means they were sold the idea that they can maximize their profits if they start with the ability to create a bigger downline. Again, all of this is outlawed in mainland China, but that didn't stop USANA from swindling about $440 million from China. But remember, according to USANA these Chinese distributors reside in Hong Kong using the same phoney address!

The evidence that Chinese Nationals signed up as USANA distributors in Hong Kong can be found within the genealogy reports from those distributors who are their upline. The following link was a genealogy report from an upper level USANA distributor who had thousands of Chinese Nationals in their downline. USANA has since blocked the link, but here it is for historical record.
http://www.usana.com/DlmXlsServlet.xls?savedReportId=32397555
I have retained a copy of this document however:  www.mlmpyramid.com/USANA_32397555.xls


The Appearance That Babycare Has Been Growing at a Rapid Rate During The Last Several Quarters May Be Nothing More Than The Manipulation of Number.


USANA has claimed Babycare is growing in mainland China. However, it may be nothing more than the transfer of sales from Hong Kong to Mainland China. Sales that were once attributed to USANA's Hong Kong market is now simply being reported in Babycare. USANA's auditor KPMG LLP should investigate the sales that were once reported as Hong Kong and now seem to be reported as Babycare. So the whole notion that USANA is “growing” its Babycare subsidiary may not be true.

On USANA's last quarter's conference call, Dave Wentz was asked where he projects Hong Kong's sales should stabilize (in light of the rapid decline in sales). Dave Wentz responded with the following (my emphasis in bold highlight):
"Well, Hong Kong's a fairly small market, population wise. And so we believe it will be -- I mean, if you were to compare it to other markets at the same population size, we expect it to be more successful than a number of them. But there will be a level that hits it right, that matches the market size and the number of leaders that we have there. But a lot of focus has moved from Hong Kong to China, as we all know, and that's where a much bigger opportunity is." - Seeking Alpha Transcript
It would seem to me that Dave is trying to justify Hong Kong's declining sales and distributor numbers. He should have simply told investors the truth that Hong Kong's numbers have been grossly overstated for the last several years because the sales were actually from mainland China instead of Hong Kong. Now what if we interpolate the sales from 2007 to the last quarter and consider anything above that line to be from mainland China? I choose 2007 because of evidence that shows Chinese Nationals being recruited into USANA since 2007 using a phoney address as seen in the genealogy report I referenced above.

USANA has been telling investors and stock analysts that Babycare has picked up business in China. However, this might not actually be true. I believe USANA is simply transferring the reported sales from one territory to another to make it appear as if business is growing in China. As you can see, Q1-2013 is the start at which Babycare sales started to sky rocket. This may actually simply be the transfer of reported sales from one market to another. Notice that Hong Kong decreases by almost the same amount Babycare China increases.
Many years ago USANA began recruiting Chinese Nationals from mainland China into their multilevel marketing compensation plan in Hong Kong. China's direct selling law forbids multilevel marketing from being conducted. So what USANA did is have those from China's mainland sign up using a phoney residential address in Hong Kong.

It's one thing if a few rogue USANA associates were breaking the law by signing up people from mainland China. It's another thing for USANA to knowingly circumvent China's laws and have them all share the same phoney address in Hong Kong when they sign up. This may be a violation of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act. The extent of this violation isn't about a couple dollars from a few bad associates. In fact, it may be closer to $440 Million over the last 6 years that actually is the direct result of Chinese Nationals in mainland China who were illegally participating and conducting a multilevel marketing scheme within their country.

USANA has in the past stated that an undisclosed amount of people from mainland China are purchasing product from Hong Kong for their own personal use and not building a USANA business. Then over the last year, USANA has stated that they have a new policy that restricts people from purchasing USANA product from outside their own market. So those from mainland China are not suppose to purchase USANA product from Hong Kong anymore. USANA has also stated that they are shifting their focus from Hong Kong to Babycare in China. They also admitted that some of those who were signed up in Hong Kong will now be signed up in Babycare in China.


Why Did So Many of USANA's Hong Kong Full-Time Leaders Vanish?

USANA distributors who are able to obtain at least 10,000 sales volume FROM their downline (5000 points on their left leg and 5000 on their right leg) each week for 4 consecutive weeks are given titles such as Gold Director, Ruby Director, Emerald Director, Diamond Director, and Star-Diamond Director. USANA labels this class of distributors as “FULL-TIME DISTRIBUTORS”. Anyone beneath this ranking USANA classifies as only “PART-TIME DISTRIBUTORS”.

Reading USANA's recruiting material one may believe there are a lot of distributors with these high rankings. Those that reach this level can be making $50,000 in commission to over $1 million in commission per year. USANA has had over 2,000,000 distributors since they began in 1992. Over the last several years I have collected data of USANA distributor leadership rankings. As of June 2014 there are only about 3141 USANA distributors in the world that are a rank of Gold Director or higher (full-time), which is an unknown fact that is not disclosed to investors or even new distributors before or after they sign up. Interestingly, over the last two year 531 FULL-TIME USANA distributors have dropped out or have been terminated. Remember, these are distributors who are highly ranked, collecting thousands if not millions in commissions from USANA (approximately $38 million each year according to 2006 US Associate Earnings Documents).
The bigger eye opener is that out of the 531 Full-Time distributors that have left, 378 of them are from Hong Kong alone! 12 Diamond, 7 Emerald, 59 Ruby, and 300 Gold Directors have been removed from Hong Kong and possibly transferred to Babycare. If these members were making the kind of commissions their USANA rank suggests, and they were kicked out of USANA and turned into Babycare Distributors, what incentive would keep them as Babycare distributors if they are all of the sudden going to be collecting no commission at all? Remember, Babycare distributors cannot make a commission from other participants purchases because they cannot have a downline. Yet, Babycare sales and associates have been skyrocketing along with the fact the percent of distributor incentives to net sales did not dramatically change from the loss of all these high ranking USANA distributors that USANA would no longer supposedly be paying commissions to.


Where Are The Regulators?
So what's going on here? I believe USANA auditors need to investigate this issue and get to the bottom of it. I believe the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) needs to also open an investigation into the “PAYMENT FOR REFERRAL” plan USANA has implemented world wide which pays a referral commission to anyone who recruits Chinese Nationals into Babycare and receives commissions from their purchases, even though Babycare distributors are forbidden to participate in MLM. I also believe the SEC needs to open an investigation into USANA's possible violation of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act by circumventing China's laws by having thousands their citizens sign up using a phoney address to participate in USANA's Multilevel Marketing scheme which may be responsible for over $440 million dollars in funds from the citizens in mainland China.

Tuesday, February 5, 2013

USANA Q4-2012 Earnings - Questions USANA Should Answer for Shareholders and Federal Regulators

USANA Health Sciences, Inc (USNA) Fourth Quarter Earnings for 2012 are released at the end of the day today. I'll give my two cents followed by a series of questions I think USANA should answer.

Flat to declining United States, Canada, and Mexico active associates. However, USANA might show a gain in North American active associates which could be due to European associate recruiting. USANA continues to combine Europe with United States associate numbers even though the market territories are over 3000 miles apart.

Greater China will see the biggest increase of active associates, which I attribute to mainland China citizens signing up primarily into USANA's MLM opportunity through Hong Kong rather than joining BabyCare which is only a singlelevel marketing company. As of mid-September 2012, I counted roughly 38,000 Babycare distributor IDs issued. It is unknown how many of those are actually considered "active" and how many have already dropped out.

Philippines will probably show gains since my blog is getting a lot more hits from that area of the world. This seems to be a good indication that recruiting is on the increase. Most of the Google searches that come to my website are searching the term "USANA Scam". Typically new recruits or those who have been approached by a recruit search these such terms. I also receive a lot of emails from concerned family members and friends from the Philippines.

Future sales will probably be forecast higher, which is no surprise since USANA increased the price of several top selling products. Shipping charges have been increased as well.


Questions USANA should answer during their 2012 fourth quarter earnings conference call on February 6, 2013.

New distributors who purchase a Professional Enrollment Pack for $1250 get a $100 commission check sent back to them from USANA. No customers were necessary to receive this commission check.

Question 1) How many Professional Enrollment Packs were sold to new sales reps during the 2012 year?

This answer would give investors an idea of just how much in Net Sales USANA makes upfront from newly recruited sales reps. It will also reveal what percentage of the distributor incentives was paid as a result of a phoney commission payout.


USANA has two classes of sales reps: Distributors and Associates. USANA states that "distributors" must satisfy the 5 customer rule by either having either Preferred Customers, Retail Customers, or a combination of the two. USANA goes on to further state that "associates" must satisfy the 5 customer rule by having only Preferred Customers (typically the terms are used interchangeably, except when referring to the 5 customer rule). There were only 64,000 Preferred Customers during the Q3-2012. This amount of preferred customers can only satisfy up to 12,800 active associates. USANA also states that 1 in 3 associates receive a commission check. There were 242,000 active associates in Q3-2012. So according to USANA's numbers, 80,600 active associates received a commission check.

Question 2) How many active associates received a commission check during the last quarter and how many of them are considered "Associates" and how many are considered "Distributors"?

If more than 12,800 sales reps who collected a commission check are officially classified as "associates", then USANA is not enforcing their own 5 customer rule policy.

Question 3) How many retail customers combined do the active associates who collected a commission check have?

It has to be over 339,000 to cover the remaining active associates who collected a commission check.


Over 200 of USANA sales reps are part of the million dollar club. 10 of them are part of a $5 million dollar club. So over $240 million in commission has been paid out to roughly 200 associates since USANA joined the stock market in 1996. That is over 13% of all commission ever paid out.

Question 4) Are the million dollar club members (who have received over 13% of all commission ever paid out) audited to ensure they have 5 or more customers and if so, how frequently are they audited?


USANA's Asia markets have exploded with distributor growth over the last several years. During that time, i have shown on numerous occasions how unlikely these numbers are real. In fact, according to USANA, 1 in every 100 Hong Kong citizens is a USANA distributor. Citron Research uncovered USANA distributors recruiting Chinese Nationals and training them on how to circumvent US and Chinese laws by opening a bank account in Hong Kong and signing up under their sponsor's home address. Recently I have uncovered a USANA document that shows how USANA has no limit to the number of distributors that can sign up under the same address let alone the same credit card.

Question 5) How long has USANA allowed three or more associates to sign up using the same address?

Question 6) How many USANA associates share the same address with 3 or more other associates?

Question 7) How many USANA associates share the same creditcard with 3 or more other associates?

Question 8) How many Chinese Nationals who live in mainland China have joined USANA's MLM business opportunity in other markets such as Hong Kong, Australia, Philippines, Malaysia, etc...? (Not related to BabyCare)


USANA has defined an "Active Associate" two different ways. In the SEC filings it states that an active associate has purchased product at anytime during the most recent three months. In every single other publicized location regarding USANA's business opportunity, an active associate is defined as one who personally purchases over 100/200 PSV points in order to qualify for commissions.

Question 9) What exactly is an "active associate" as described in your SEC filings. Is it an associate who could have simply purchased a single tube of toothpaste for $7.50, or is it an associate who has met the 100/200 PSV point requirement ($110 to $240) to be commission eligible?


The FTC has made the following statement in a letter to the Direct Selling Association: "a multi-level compensation system funded primarily by payments made for the right to participate in the venture is an illegal pyramid scheme."

Question 10) What percentage of net sales was the result of the distributor's PSV purchases to be commission qualified and remain as "active associate" status?

The FTC letter further states that "Modem pyramid schemes generally do not blatantly base commissions on the outright payment of fees, but instead try to disguise these payments to appear as if they are based on the sale of goods or services. The most common means employed to achieve this goal is to require a certain level of monthly purchases to qualify for commissions. While the sale of goods and services nominally generates all commissions in a system primarily funded by such purchases, in fact, those commissions are funded by purchases made to obtain the right to participate in the scheme."


USANA has never published a worldwide statistic of their distributor's leadership ranking and the percentage of distributor incentives paid out to each of those rankings. Doing so I believe would raise a red flag to federal regulators like the FTC as it would reveal just how little USANA distributors make.

Question 11) How many distributors in 2012 were in each of the Leadership Rankings from plain "associate" (commissionless) to "sharers" (bare minimum) to "#-Star Diamond Directors" (yes, each of the star rankings listed separately)?

Question 12) How much distributor incentives was paid out to each of the leadership rankings during the 2012 year?


It has been stated for many years now that MLM companies (including USANA) have a 99% distributor failure rate, meaning they did not make a profit. Based on my years of research into USANA I also have come to the same conclusion based on available information I have been able to find. However, USANA could clarify this issue once and for all and answer the following:

Question 13) What percentage of USANA sales reps make a "profit" after expenses are subtracted?


USANA states in their SEC filings "we experience a high turnover among new Associates from year to year". This is very vague and could mean 10% or it could mean 90%. This needs to be clarified with a real value.

Question 14) What is USANA's distributor turnover rate in 2012 among new associates from year to year in terms of a percentage? 


USANA claims to have about 242,000 active associates as of Q3-2012. Last year at this time it was said to have 222,000 active associates (Q4-2011). This would lead investors to believe USANA recruited 20,000 more active associates. However, because of a high turnover rate, it is actually unknown how many new associates joined.

Question 15) How many unique individuals were USANA Active Associates during the 2012 year (total)?

Question 16) How many associates left their distributorship and cancelled their membership?


I believe many USANA associates stay as a member because upline leaders discourage their members from cancelling memberships and tell them that one day they may have a downline under their business center. So the idea is that all these associates who didn't drop out have to do is keep paying a yearly renewal fee of $20. As of mid-September 2012, I have counted over 1.3 million USANA distributor IDs.

Question 17) How many distributor's paid a $20 renewal membership fee during the 2012 year?

Question 18) How many Business Development Systems (BDS) were sold or given to new distributors throughout 2012?


All of these questions are useful in continuing to build the case that USANA is a product-based pyramid scheme similar to the MLM Fortune Hi-Tech Marketing (FHTM) which was recently shut down by the FTC. It may be that the FTC chose to go after Fortune Hi-Tech first, build a strong case, and then apply that case and the judges rulings to other MLMs in the industry like Herbalife (HLF), Nu Skin (NUS), Amway, Monavie, Ariix, and hundreds of others that all have a similar business model.


Disclosure: I have no stock position in USANA or any of their competitors. I have never and will never hold a stock position with USANA. I am not paid to write this article. I make no money from this blog. I have never and will never be a USANA distributor or a distributor of any other MLM company.

Thursday, January 31, 2013

USANA Allows Distributors To Sign Up Under The Same Home Address and Credit Card - Recipe For Circumventing Foreign Laws

USANA Health Sciences, Inc (USNA) has virtually expanded their Multilevel Marketing (MLM) operation from about 19 markets to every market in the entire world.

A recently written internal USANA document reveals a secret policy that only insiders and several top distributors are aware of. This hidden policy allows over 15 active associates to use the same home address as well as using the same credit card. I cannot find this sort of policy mentioned anywhere on the web or through distributor literature. This policy essentially allows USANA distributors to sign people up into their MLM downlines within any country in this world including unauthorized markets such as mainland China, which has laws preventing their citizens from participating in MLM schemes.

Internal USANA document regarding address and creditcard enhancements states the following:
QUOTE
         Address and Credit Card System Enhancements
    - System enhancements took effect starting as of January 26, 2013.
    - As each of you are aware, in order to enroll as an associate in any market where USANA does business an associate must provide their correct address in country to show residency and to allow us to contact them.
    - In addition, downline purchasing is strictly forbidden, meaning an associate must pay for his or her own orders.
    - These policies are difficult to enforce at times because an associate may “lend” the use of his or her address to downline members allowing enrollments that do not meet residency requirements.  Likewise, an upline may use the same credit card to pay for all orders in an organization, thus causing compensation plan manipulation.
    - The compliance team has been charged with enforcing these rules but has found it difficult.
    - With project upgrade complete IT has been able to help this situation with two new enhancements.
    - First, as of January 26th the online enrollment system will not accept any address as a home address if that address has already been used by more than 15 other active associates.
          - Limited to main addresses only
          - however will not catch spelling or abreaviation differences
                - example: 123 Jon Boulevard vs. 123 Jon Blv.
          - The example would read as two different addressses
          - This will need to be evaluated and reported to compliance when noticed
          - This prohibition can be manually over-ruled by a DSR so that in the extremely rare circumstance that more than 15 associates truly do share the same address they simply need to enroll by phone.
          - A DSR will then verify that the address is really their address and can complete the enrollment.
    - Second, as of January 26th our online product order system will not accept as payment for product any credit card that is already in use on more than 15 active distributorships. 
          - This rule will not apply for the time being in Mexico or the Philippines until we are comfortable that we have a working solution in those markets for distributors who do not have a credit card. 
          - In addition, this prohibition will not apply to an associate’s first order as it is common for a sponsor to lend his or her credit card to a new associate and take cash as payment for the first order.
          - As with the first system enhancement, this prohibition can also be manually over-ruled by a DSR where the DSR speaks to the associate and the upline and verifies that the associate has paid cash to the upline and the upline authorizes use of the card.
    - Note that these enhancements do not represent a change in policy.  The policy remains that each associate must pay for his or her own orders and provide a legitimate address to enroll.  These enhancements simply will allow us to better enforce rules that were previously more difficult to enforce.
    - Kevin Guest and Deborah Woo informed each of the IDCs about this new enhancement in November and there were no complaints.
    -  Brent Neidig will be writing a compliance corner article to remind associates of these policies.
    - In addition associates who have previously had a practice of signing many people up at one address or with one credit card will notice the restriction.
    - Please make sure you are prepared to respond to these associates and help them understand the restrictions and that your DSRs, compliance and field development staff
UNQUOTE

DSR stands for Distributor Services Representative
IDC stands for Independent Distributor Council

USANA's 2012-2013 Independent Distributor Council (IDC) is made up of the following distributors:

Zak Ross – 10 Star Diamond Director
Simon Chan – 3 Star Diamond Director
Tony and Tammy Daum – 2 Star Diamond Director
Daniel and Paige Hunter – 2 Star Diamond Director
Jordan Kemper – Diamond Director
Tom and Lorie Mulhern – Diamond Director
Jared Creds – Ruby Director
Soomin Kim – Ruby Director

USANA is only talking about restricting their ONLINE ENROLLMENT SYSTEM from allowing associates to sign up more distributors under the same address if they already have 15 active associates sharing that address. Obviously distributors have been doing this or else USANA would not have to put in place a limit on the online enrollment. Does it really matter though since all the associate has to do is call USANA's customer service to get an override.

This policy outlined in the internal memo about allowing over 15 associates sharing the same address contradicts USANA's published policies and procedures which states the following:
QUOTE
3.13 One Distributorship
 
An Associate may operate, receive compensation from, or have an ownership interest, legal or equitable, as a sole proprietorship, shareholder, trustee, or beneficiary in only one USANA Distributorship. However, notwithstanding this rule, your spouse may become an Associate and operate a second distributorship as long your spouse’s distributorship is placed below one of your business centers and not in a cross line sales organization. The second business must be a bona fide independent business that is operated by the person listed on the agreement and not by the owner of the first business.
UNQUOTE

Now unless USANA executives have been watching too much "Sister Wives" on The Learning Channel, there is no way somebody has 4 spouses let alone over 15! So aside from polygamy, USANA's policies and procedures limits a household to only two distributor accounts. The policies and procedures USANA publicly publishes serves as nothing more than lip service to federal regulators. USANA's unpublished set of policies shown in these internal memos are the real policies that the federal regulators should be interested in.

A couple years ago there was another internal USANA document regarding compliance and training for their employees that makes the following contradictory statements:

QUOTE (my emphasis in red)
VII. Questions from DSR
II. When can we get the computer to list accounts with same address, phone, ssn, etc.
 
i. We already have access to most of that information, it just doesn’t automatically show us it. We have spoken with IT and the more actions we place on the system, the more burdensome it becomes and the slower it  operates. So for now, we have to run our own little reports to try and find multiples.
UNQUOTE

At the time why would USANA be interested in finding distributor accounts that share the same address? USANA admits they have access to the information and is fully capable finding these "multiples". Obviously there was a problem back then with associates using the same home address.

Lets look at another quote regarding credit card fraud and usage.

QUOTE (my emphasis in red)
III. Fraud
iii. Credit card usage

1. If someone is trying to use a card other than their own, do not let them. There have been several instances of fraud lately where people’s cards have been stolen and used to purchased product.

2. A good response would be: “I noticed that the name on this card is different than your own. You may not be aware of this, but recently there have been several instances where credit card fraud has taken place. Because of this, we are trying to increase our associates protection by only allowing the account holders credit card to be used  on their account. So unfortunately I can’t let you use this credit card. I know it may be a bit inconvenient, but I’m sure you would be glad if we
stopped someone else from using your card on their account without  your authorization.”


VII. Questions from DSR
III. How rampant is credit card fraud in the system?
i. Lately we have had several issues with Fraud. I don’t have an exact  number on how many issues we have, but it is a growing concern. As a result, we are currently working on changing our credit card policy to ensure an added level of protection for our associates.
UNQUOTE

According to USANA's 2010 internal document, credit cards can only be used on the card holder's own distributor account. Here USANA discusses trying to tackle credit card fraud. Yet, in their latest internal document just recently written they allow over 15 active associates to all use the same credit card.


So why does any of this matter at all? For starters, it allows a distributor to recruit anyone from anywhere into their downline. All they have to do is use the sponsoring distributor's address and credit card. The sponsoring distributor is simply reimbursed by those in his or her downline who reside in countries that are not authorized to participate in MLM companies. This leads me to China.

For several years now I have been writing on my blog about mounting evidence that USANA has been signing up Chinese Nationals into their MLM compensation plan. It is against the law for Chinese Nationals to own or operate a MLM distributorship. USANA is not authorized to conduct MLM activities within mainland China.

So one possible way USANA can circumvent China's laws is to sign up Chinese Nationals in other countries such as Hong Kong and use the sponsoring distributor's Hong Kong address. By doing so, it removes any paper trails within USANA's computer system and from auditors eyes. The shareholders simply see USANA's Hong Kong market rise sharply while the rest of USANA's markets hold steady or even decline. This sharp rise in sales and distributorships in Hong Kong sends USANA's stock price soaring. When the price is right, insiders dump millions of dollars worth of stock (Myron Wentz sold over $30,000,000 in November and December).

In November, Citron Research released evidence of Chinese Nationals being recruited in USANA's MLM compensation plan by a distributor from Hong Kong. Each of the Chinese Nationals used the address of the distributor from Hong Kong. They were also instructed to open up bank accounts in Hong Kong as well. This internal memo is strong evidence that USANA has in place a policy that allows for such questionable recruiting activities. USANA filed a response with the SEC regarding the Citron report and simply stated that they operate BabyCare Ltd. in mainland China and do it legally. USANA's response diverges from the actual issue, which is the recruitment of Chinese Nationals into USANA's MultiLevel Marketing plan through Hong Kong, not the BabyCare SingleLevel Marketing plan already established in mainland China.

With unethical hidden policies like these it's no wonder USANA executives are leaving like rats on a sinking ship. Someone should ask USANA during their financial conference call next week "how many associates share the same address with three or more other associates and what percentage of net sales did they account for."

I'll finish with one of my favorite non-disclosures by USANA revealed in the older internal USANA document:
QUOTE
IV. What is the biggest market that buys our products that we are not eligible to operate in?

i. Once again I couldn’t give you an exact answer on this. Since I work with our Asian markets, I know that a large sum of product ends up in China, but I’m sure product somehow gets shipped to other unauthorized markets as well…
UNQUOTE

A Large Sum sounds like a lot to me.

Now that the FTC has shut down MLM company Fortune Hi Tech (FHTM), could USANA be next in their sights? I will discuss this in my next article.

Disclosure: I have no stock position in USANA or any of their competitors. I have never and will never hold a stock position with USANA. I am not paid to write this article. I make no money from this blog. I have never and will never be a USANA distributor or a distributor of any other MLM company.

Wednesday, February 8, 2012

USANA Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2011 Financial Results.

USANA releases their Fourth Quarter 2011 Earnings today. In a nutshell, it is business as usual. Declining United States active associates, declining preferred customers world wide, and increasing Asian active associates. USANA made an error on the number of customers in China and took them an entire year to correct it. USANA continues to claim they are working hard with North American distributor leaders to stop the declining numbers, but they make these claims almost every single quarter. USANA has contests every quarter to encourage associate recruiting. It's all about the active associate data.

I don't think the fourth quarter was much to brag about. Here are some interesting facts:
Year over year, USANA lost 12000 customers (active associates & preferred customers combined) for a 4% decline. However, USANA managed to make $8.4 million more in revenue for a 6.1% gain. I believe this is due to USANA's increase in associate fees to activate a business center. USANA calls it a product purchase, but distributors are required to personally purchase over $200 worth of product before they can participate in the compensation plan and receive commissions. Many associates purchase the Professional Package for $1200 in hopes their business can make them rich.

Quarter over quarter, USANA gained 6000 customers for a 2.1% increase. USANA also made $2.4 million more in revenue for a 1.7% increase. Doesn't seem like much, but at least from quarter to quarter the revenue seems proportional to the number of active customers. Certainly nothing to brag about

My favorite line out of USANA's press release announcing their fourth quarter 2011 earnings report is this little footnote at the end that states the following:
3. The Preferred Customer count as of January 1, 2011 has been updated to correct an inaccuracy reported for BabyCare under Greater China. The Preferred Customer count previously reported for BabyCare was 14,000, which brought the Preferred Customer count for Greater China to 16,000. These numbers have been corrected to 7,000 for BabyCare, and 9,000 for Greater China. This correction represents a change of 7,000 to total Preferred Customers reported as of January 1, 2011.
USANA overstated their Babycare preferred customers by 100%. That is a huge error. They claimed they had twice as many preferred customers for their newest territory than they actually had. Their preferred customers for that territory has been declining ever since. Interesting that USANA used the excuse last year when their Babycare numbers had declined and blamed it on Chinese New Years. Where were USANA's auditors, sleeping??? It took USANA an entire year to correct this error. Can we trust USANA when they claimed they had 12,000 BabyCare associates during that same time?

Here's some information stockholders may not hear about but could have unseen consequences. USANA's latest contest "USANA in China: Rewards for Referrals" is one that pays associates for referring a Chinese National who joins BabyCare. I thought it was illegal to pay MLM distributors for recruiting. Has the Direct Sellers Association lobbied for that change as well? Here is a quote from this contest:
You have to be a Chinese National Citizen to build a business with USANA in China, but you can still benefit from the lucrative bonus possibilities available to other USANA Associates. With the USANA Partnership Program, you will receive a residual bonus for every qualified person you refer to USANA in China who begins building a business.

The USANA Partnership Program is better than anything you’ve seen in the past—instead of a one-time bonus, you will receive an ongoing percentage of everything your referrals generate. Although you can’t add Chinese National Citizens to your own downline, you can still make residual income from the points they generate as they build their own businesses in China!
It is against China's law for MLMs to recruit Chinese Nationals into the downline of these pyramid schemes. So USANA has devised a way to circumvent China's laws. Instead of these Chinese Nationals being placed into a downline, they are simply left out of their sponsor's downline while still generating “residual income” for that sponsor. So a USANA distributor in the US can recruit a Chinese National into BabyCare in China and still collect commission from that Chinese National. However, China has outlawed MLMs from participating in their country. I believe this is breaking China's law. Plus, I believe it breaks US laws by paying a commission to the distributor for simply recruiting the Chinese National. Paid to recruit...


I still hold true to the belief that USANA is operating an illegal pyramid scheme where associates are forced to purchase overpriced product (that cannot be retailed for any kind of profit) in order to collect commissions. The majority of revenue made by USANA and the majority of commissions paid (mainly to the top 1% of associates) comes from the hundreds of thousands of distributors who are all purchasing product in order to be "commission Eligible" and participate in the business venture. If USANA did either (1) removed the requirement to personally purchase any product in order to collect commission, or (2) did not pay out commissions to upline members for the product personally purchased by distributors (because they are forced to purchase the product in the first place), then USANA would no longer be a pyramid scheme. However, if USANA actually did either of those two things, the company would go out of business in just a couple months because only those who actually want to purchase product would, which I believe most would not.

Most associates would stop purchasing product because almost every associate that has quit the business has also stopped purchasing the product. In fact, most people who have either tried USANA's business opportunity or joined as a preferred customer have stopped purchasing USANA's product and left the company. That says a lot about the company and the product.

Thursday, April 28, 2011

USANA's 2011 First Quarter Earnings - A look Into The Active Associate and Preferred Customer Trends

USANA's first quarter earnings release reveals major drop in active associate numbers from prior quarter. I do not recall any mention of any quarter to quarter information in any press release. I have put together a 2 year trend of Active Associates and Active Preferred Customers by region. What I notice is a downward spiral. USANA lost a total of 22,000 of their Active Total Customers (Associates and Preferred Customers), yet their stock price actually went up from $35.70 to a high of $38.50 and closing at $36.30... I will break down each of USANA's regions and discuss the various situations in each.


USANA's United States Active Associate and Preferred Customer Results
figure 1 - USANA US Active Associates
 
figure 2 - USANA US Active Preferred Customers

USANA's United States territory lost 2000 active associates and gained 2000 active preferred customers.

Seems clear to me where the US is trending. USANA constantly blames the bad economy in the US, yet there are several leading distributors who claim that a down economy is good for MLM business opportunities because more people are out looking for work and are more likely to join MLMs. USANA has also blamed this downward trend on the rampant recruiting in their Greater China territory. USANA claims that US distributors are focusing their attention on business in China, which is hogwash. USANA distributors cannot recruit Chinese Nationals into their downline. Chinese Nationals can only be recruited into BabyCare in a single level marketing compensation plan, which I believe will fail USANA miserably because the incentive to recruit an endless chain doesn't exist. Perhaps USANA is referring to the underground recruiting of Chinese Nationals into USANA's Hong Kong territory, which violates China's Direct Selling laws. I believe with the help of Utah's Attorney General Mark Shurtleff, USANA is above the law.


USANA's Canada Active Associate and Preferred Customer Results
figure 3 - USANA Canada Active Associates
figure 4 - USANA Canada Active Preferred Customers
USANA's Canada active associates and preferred customers remained unchanged.

Canada too has been suffering a decline in active associates and preferred customers. I guess this must be because of the bad economy in the United States. At least that is what USANA might claim. I believe USANA's reputation of being a recruiting scheme with over priced products that are almost impossible to resell have more to do with this decline than USANA would ever admit. Saturation has also kicked in.


USANA's Mexico Active Associate and Preferred Customer Results
figure 5 - USANA Mexico Active Associates
figure 6 - USANA Mexico Active Preferred Customers
USANA's Mexico territory lost 1000 active associates and 1000 active preferred customers.

I never thought Mexico was a serious territory for USANA. I think this territory has more to do with having Sanoviv there than having USANA associates running around recruiting each other. It was interesting though during the Swine Flu hysteria because USANA's "Poly C" was being marketed by many distributors as a preventative measure against the Swine Flu. I guess if people simply "believe" something will work, then it probably will - Placebo Effect. Perhaps USANA should simply produce a sugar pill, call it Usanebo™ and give their poor distributors a break and only charge them $0.99 for a 28 day supply.


USANA's S.E. Asia/Pacific Active Associate and Preferred Customer Results
figure 7 - USANA South East Asia / Pacific Active Associates
figure 8 - USANA South East Asia / Pacific Active Preferred Customers
USANA's South East Asia / Pacific territory lost 1000 active associates while active preferred customers remained unchanged.

This territory includes: Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines. Unfortunately, USANA no longer breaks down these territories individually. This is a shame because it gave a much more detailed view of how bad these territories are actually doing. USANA prefers to through around unspecified percentage growths and declines making it difficult to effectively analyze those territories. Either way, the declining trend of active associates is yet another sign of a saturated market, bad reputation and (cough) the bad economy in the United States. Seriously, the US economy has nothing to do with Australia and New Zealand's declining trends. I can only wonder why analysts don't question USANA on their answers. Instead, analysts simply accept whatever answer USANA gives, as if it satisfied the question. However, most of the time it paints an even more ambiguous picture. So far, USANA's latest quarterly report shows a continued decline of members.


USANA's Greater China Active Associate and Preferred Customer Results
figure 9 - USANA Greater China Active Associates
figure 10 - USANA Greater China Active Preferred Customers
USANA's Greater China territory lost 11,000 active associates and 8000 active preferred customers.

This territory includes: Hong Kong, Taiwan and Mainland China. Are the lemmings jumping overboard?  As I have written many times now, USANA has been recruiting people from Mainland China into their USANA Hong Kong territory. This is in violation of China's direct selling laws, but don't let that stop anyone. Chinese Nationals are not allowed to join MLM companies. USANA has finally come around and started to mention the recruitment of Chinese Nationals into USANA's Hong Kong territory. However, USANA has a very interesting way to define these distributors. USANA claims that they are simply people who joined solely so they can personally purchase and consume the product. Really! Why then did they not simply join as preferred customers? I believe USANA is full of crap.

These Chinese National USANA distributors joined so they can participate in the endless recruiting scheme in hopes to make money by recruiting other Chinese Nationals under them. Since everyone is forced to purchase USANA product to participate in USANA's compensation plan, distributors are essentially paid to recruit. Mainland China is a fresh market and that is why USANA witnessed an explosive growth in their Hong Kong territory over the past couple years.

Now we have a huge decline over the previous quarter. USANA claims it is because of the Chinese New Year, which lasts a couple weeks. If this is true, then it reveals how desperately associates must continue to recruit more associates into the endless chain just to maintain the same number of active associates! However, I believe it has more to do with the fact that most associates realizing they are never going to make a dime and how difficult it is to endlessly recruit people. With the product prices so high and having to import the product from the US, why waste their time and money in actually retailing any product. China has more vitamins brands than Carter has pills. Not to mention the skin care market in China.

And Babycare associates will learn quickly than making money retailing USANA product is not worth their time and energy. Since Babycare associates cannot recruit new associates into a downline (Single Level Marketing is China), there is no way for them to make money off the backs of hundreds below them. The USANA fad in China will wear off unless USANA brings down the distributors cost for the product by a substantial amount.


USANA's North Asia Active Associate and Preferred Customer Results
figure 11 - USANA North Asia Active Associates
figure 12 - USANA North Asia Active Preferred Customers
USANA's North Asia active associates and preferred customers remained unchanged.


This territory includes: Japan and South Korea. This is another joke of territories as was Mexico. Why USANA even bothers to publish these numbers is beyond me. We may see that the next quarterly release, Japan might go up 1000 associates. I believe this could be from USANA associates pushing the sale of potassium iodide as a preventative measure against the nuclear radiation caused by the earth quake and tsunami. But again the amount would be insignificant. This territory is saturated and not going to help USANA in the long run.
 
These are my opinions based on my research and analysis of USANA Health Sciences. As always, I welcome the harsh criticism. If there are errors, let me know as I finished writing this at 1:30 AM.

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

USANA's First Quarter Results for 2011 Reveal Falling Interest For USANA's Business Opportunity.

USANA released their First Quarter Earnings Statement and it shows that all over the world USANA's active associate numbers fell except China, which I believe cannot be trusted.

Year over year, USANA's active associate figures yield:
United States: from 56,000 to 49,000
Canada: from 25,000 to 24,000
Mexico: from 13,000 to 10,000
Southeast Asia/Pacific: from 44,000 to 40,000
North Asia: from 9000 to 8000
Greater China: from 57,000 to 82,000

USANA uses the excuse that the bad United States economy is responsible for the declining figures, but this decline is world wide. However, China is an exception. Hong Kong and mainland China numbers are sky rocketing, but as I have mentioned many times now, I belive this is because USANA is allowing illegal recruiting of mainland China persons into USANA's Hong Kong territory, which violates foreign laws. Not to mention mainland China is not a "USANA" territory. It is a Babycare territory. There is a difference.

I believe USANA stated last quarter that they expect the Hong Kong distributor numbers to start falling because a handful of USANA products are now sold through Babycare Ltd. This was due to the expectation that mainland Chinese distributors signed up as USANA associates in Hong Kong would leave USANA and sign up as a Babycare associate. Not only does this validate my claims that USANA has been recruiting mainland Chinese nationals as USANA associates in Hong Kong, but also raises a serious question: Those associates who left USANA's Hong Kong distributorship and signed up as Babycare associates, are they counted twice? The answer should be "NO", but it would not surprise me. Perhaps there are those that hold both a USANA distributorship as well as a Babycare distributorship; count them twice!

Of course this begs the question, where are the millions of retail customers that should come from having hundreds of thousands of USANA sales reps? Unfortunately, after distributors pay a premium price for the USANA inventory, why would anyone pay even more? Distributors pay $110 for a USANA Healthpak100 which only lasts 28 days which makes it a $3.93 per day multivitamin supplement. View the USANA Price List for yourself. Who in their right mind would fork out $1430 per year for vitamins, and that's the distributor's cost! And don't expect any ethical doctor or nutritionist to recommend such a product either. Since only USANA distributors can sell the product, the doctor or nutritionist would have to be a USANA distributor. In other words, some doctors peddle USANA product to the patient they would have to peddle the product to their patient, which violates their code of ethics.

Yet, USANA's Healthpak100 is one of their most commonly sold product. Why is that? Simple. USANA attaches sales points to each of their product. Most distributors have 1 business center and are required to personally purchase 100 sales volume points every 28 days. The Healthpak100 is 100 sales points, so only 1 product would have to be purchased. Plus, it is the best value for the number of sales points awarded. Purchasing other products and meeting the minimum 100 point requirement would usually put the order over 100 points, which further wastes the distributors money. So a 100 point product easy much easier to deal with. Sadly, USANA distributors also have to pay a pricey shipping and handling fee on top of it.

Knowing all this, it is obvious why there is a serious lack of retail customers. One can go down USANA's entire product line and see how over priced it is. More and more people in the United States are becoming aware of MultiLevel Marketing schemes like USANA and are distancing themselves from the cultish behavior. USANA has reached saturation in the United States and other areas, and without the shenanigans in the China region, USANA would have a single digit stock price.

These are my opinions and I welcome harsh criticism.

Monday, September 20, 2010

USANA'a Hong Kong active associate numbers may begin declining because of BabyCare Ltd.

Now that USANA Health Sciences owns BabyCare Ltd in China, will USANA continue to recruit Chinese Nationals into their Hong Kong market?  Currently, China has outlawed Multilevel Marketing because they consider it to be a pyramid scheme. Only Single Level direct selling is allowed. Distributors are not allowed to recruit additional distributors.

It appears that USANA and their distributors have been recruiting people from mainland China into their Multilevel Marketing business opportunity through their Hong Kong market. As I pointed out in a previous blog posting regarding USANA's active associates per territory, USANA's Hong Kong territory reveal that 1 in every 135 Hong Kong citizens are active distributors in USANA's business. That's very suspicious when you consider that USANA's United States market has 1 in every 5436 American citizen as an active Usana distributor.

So if USANA's Hong Kong territory has been used to funnel profits to USANA through illegal means (recruiting people from mainland China), and now USANA owns BabyCare Ltd, will those mainland Chinese distributors who joined USANA illegally leave USANA and join BabyCare Ltd instead? I believe this may be the case. This would mean that USANA's Hong Kong active associate figures will begin to drop. Keep in mind, people living in Hong Kong would not be able to join BabyCare Ltd because Hong Kong is not part of mainland China. Now if USANA believes their Hong Kong active associate numbers are going to decline as a result of BabyCare Ltd, then USANA has a responsibility to inform their shareholders since it is a material matter.

Regardless, I firmly believe there is sufficient evidence for a SEC investigation of USANA's distributor recruiting in their Hong Kong territory. I believe this is a SEC issue because if illegal distributor activities within a foreign country such as China is confirmed, it may account for a very substantial amount of USANA's net revenues and gross profits. If this is truly the case, then shareholders may suffer massive loses in their investment in USANA's stock. Another consequence will be a damaging blow to the auditing firm PriceWaterHouseCoopers' reputation since they have been notified of this matter almost a year ago.

I would ask that anyone with additional information or evidence please email me. Your identity will not be revealed.

UPDATED September 21, 2010 at 7:47 PM:
If USANA's management HYPOTHETICALLY told an investment firm that they are expecting Hong Kong active associate numbers to be lower because of BabyCare Ltd, but did not make this statement publicly to all shareholders, does this violate SEC laws due to insider trading?

Wednesday, August 18, 2010

USANA Purchases BabyCare Ltd for its Direct Selling License in China for $62,716,000


USANA recently purchased a company based in Beijing China that has been unprofitable. However, this company had something USANA has not been able to obtain; a direct selling license in mainland China. USANA paid a whopping $62,716,000 for a company that only had $15,000,000 in annual net sales and $19,000,000 in total assets. The transaction took place in the Cayman Islands, so it is questionable whether or not either party had to pay any US or Chinese tax.

USANA Health Sciences, Inc. is successful for one reason, Multilevel Marketing (MLM). USANA distributors can recruit more distributors, and because any distributor who wants to participate must personally purchase over $100 worth of product every 28 days, there is no need to retail product. Commission is paid to upline distributors from those mandatory product purchases made by their downline. So in MLM, selling the dream of making money and recruiting new distributors is what makes 1% of distributors a lot of money and make USANA very profitable. However, mainland China does not allow MLM compensation plans!

Mainland China only allows single level marketing compensation plans. So the only means for a distributor to make any money would be to retail product to real customers, which is really what direct selling is suppose to be about. For USANA to bring their product into China, USANA must at least drop the price of their product line in half (or more). This would allow its distributors in mainland China to retail the product and make a “Profit Margin”. This profit margin in currently unheard of with USANA's products around the rest of the world because the distributors already pay a premium retail price for the product and cannot resell it for more than they paid. Also, USANA's preferred customers pay the same price as the distributors. USANA would also have to reward those Chinese Nationals that actually retail product unlike those around the rest of the world which are rewarded for recruiting more distributors instead of retailing product. In case this isn't clear, distributors in mainland China would not have a downline! These distributors would also only be recruited by USANA's corporate office (or BabyCare for now) and not by distributors inside or outside the country.

There are good reasons for USANA to make this move however. They will try to use it to encourage the rest of their markets to recruit like crazy. USANA can put in their promotional material that they are only 1 of 25 companies in the world that have a direct selling license in mainland China, which is now the second largest economy in the world. If USANA distributors thinks USANA will be able to grow a large distributor base in China and maintain those distributors, then those distributors are in for a surprise. Again, what incentive is there for Chinese Nationals to join a distributorship with BabyCare/USANA? Unlike MLM where distributors think they work as a team, single level marketing means that each distributor is a competitor to one another. So the more distributors in a single level marketing plan, the less each distributor has to potentially make. Because of this, the number of Chinese distributors not rise as much as some believe. If the numbers grow too big, Chinese distributors will not last very long and will drop out even quicker than MLM distributors do.

Goodluck to USANA though. If USANA brings their product line into mainland China, they'll be forced to drastically lower the price of their products. Then the Chinese National distributors will pay about $50 USD or less for a USANA HealthPak100 and resell it for about $70 USD and make a $20 profit from each box sold, unless USANA refuses to lower the price. Oh, and if you think the product sent to Chinese Nationals would only be resold in China, think again. USANA has been unable to police Ebay and other auction sites for USANA distributors who have been reselling massive amounts of product at half the price that it costs distributors to purchase; all for the sales volume points (MLM point game)! What would stop Chinese Nationals from using ebay to resell all their product world wide and do it for a real profit while still reselling it for a cheaper price than any other USANA distributor elsewhere in the world could even buy it for.

Bottom line, MLMs have not been successful in mainland China and that is because MLMs were never about retailing product. MLM's like USANA are in business to sell the opportunity to make money (the dream). China is smart because they know a pyramid scheme when they see one; MLM. Companies in mainland China with a direct selling license can only succeed if the product is very affordable and competitive against those on store shelves. With a LIMITED distributor base, the product line can make the company and its distributors a lot of money. But if the product is too expensive, customers will not buy, and distributors will leave.